🦟 The Bailey–Dietz Model: Cross-Species Dynamics in Vector-Borne Transmission

📈 Conceptual Overview Vector-borne infectious diseases such as Dengue, Zika, and Malaria require the simultaneous modeling of two biologically distinct populations: a vertebrate host and an arthropod vector. The Bailey–Dietz model extends the classical Ross–Macdonald framework by providing a clear system of ordinary differential equations that explicitly capture the bidirectional transmission cycle between humans and … Read more

🌡️ Climate-Sensitive Mechanistic Models: The Core of Vector-Borne Disease Forecasting

Mechanistic (process-based) epidemiological models derived from the Ross–MacDonald framework form the backbone of vector-borne disease forecasting. These models explicitly encode biological and ecological processes and allow climatic drivers—particularly temperature (T) and precipitation (P)—to directly modulate transmission dynamics. By embedding climate-dependent functions into transmission, survival, and incubation processes, these models provide a principled framework for projecting … Read more

🦟 MOMA: A Spatially Explicit Agent-Based Model for Aedes aegypti Population Dynamics

🧭 Overview The MOMA (Model Of Mosquito Aedes) is a spatially explicit Agent-Based Simulation Model designed to investigate the population dynamics of the female Aedes aegypti mosquito, the principal vector of Dengue virus. The model represents mosquitoes as individual agents interacting with a heterogeneous environment, allowing localized biological processes and spatial constraints to collectively generate … Read more

🦟 Modeling Dengue Persistence: The Host–Vector–Eggs (HME) Dynamic Framework

The Host–Vector–Eggs (HME) model is a structured extension of the classical Susceptible–Infectious–Susceptible (SIS) and SIR-type formulations, specifically tailored for vector-borne diseases such as Dengue Fever. Its defining feature is the explicit incorporation of the mosquito life cycle, including the egg and immature stages, which play a decisive role in determining adult vector density and, consequently, … Read more

🌐 Beyond the Vector: The 10-Compartment Novel Malaria Model

The Novel Malaria Mathematical Model is an expanded SEIR-based compartmental framework designed to capture malaria transmission through both classical mosquito-borne pathways and non-vector routes such as blood transfusion, congenital transmission, and human-to-human exposure in healthcare settings. By integrating vaccination, treatment, recovery, and multiple exposure mechanisms, this ten-compartment structure provides a comprehensive representation of malaria persistence … Read more